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Measured Move Down (ABC)

bearish

Definition

Decline, weak bounce, then a second decline of similar length.

Psychology

Down, weak bounce, down again — the second drop mirrors the first.

Real-life analogy

💡 Two waterfalls separated by a calm pool.

Expected direction

down

Entry / Stop / Target

Entry: On the break below the bounce's lower boundary. · Stop: Above the bounce high. · Target: Leg-1 length projected from the bounce high.

Historical behaviour

Frequent in bear phases.

Illustrative success rate

Leg 2 ≈ leg 1 in ~60% of cases · Medium reliability

Common beginner mistakes

  • Buying the weak bounce

Quick quiz — did you understand?

1. Is the Measured Move Down (ABC) generally considered bullish, bearish, or neutral?

2. After a confirmed Measured Move Down (ABC), the expected direction is usually:

3. Which is a common beginner mistake with the Measured Move Down (ABC)?

Educational and probability-based analysis only. This is not financial advice and not a prediction of real market outcomes.